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INT Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Fixture ·

Barcelona Guayaquil vs Macara

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.01 expected goals
Away form
Home win36%
Draw32%
Away win32%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Barcelona GuayaquilMacara
Expected goals2.01Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under68% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
36% / 32% / 32%Match resultHome win36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Macara win (31.6%)Double chance1X68.4%1.46
Over 32% · Under 68%Goals 2.5Under68%1.47
Yes 40% · No 60%Both teams scoreNo60%1.67
2.01 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Barcelona Guayaquil win36%2.78
Draw32%3.13
Macara win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Barcelona Guayaquil1.07

Home share of expected goals 53.2%

Total expected goals2.01Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 32% · Under 68%

Macara0.94

Away share of expected goals 46.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 40% · No 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Barcelona Guayaquil

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Macara

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Win probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
12
1.07
Expected goals
0.94
Barcelona GuayaquilMacara
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Barcelona Guayaquil signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Macara signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Barcelona Guayaquil vs Macara FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Barcelona Guayaquil win 36%,Draw 32%,Macara win 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.01 · Over 2.5 32% · Current selection Under