Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 31% / 31%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.6%)Double chance1269.4%1.44
Over 39% · Under 61%Goals 2.5Under61%1.64
Yes 46% · No 54%Both teams scoreNo54%1.85
2.25 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
SD Aucas win39%2.56
Draw31%3.23
Leones FC win31%3.23
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 55.1%
Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 39% · Under 61%
Away share of expected goals 44.9%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 46% · No 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchSD Aucas
WLLWL
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchLeones FC
DWDWD
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
39%
Win probability excluding draw
31%6
Points from supplied form
91.24
Expected goals
1.01SD AucasLeones FC
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.
Match questions
SD Aucas vs Leones FC FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
SD Aucas win 39%，Draw 31%，Leones FC win 31%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.25 · Over 2.5 39% · Current selection Under。