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INT Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Матч ·

СД Аукас vs ФК Леонес

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.25 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев39%
Ничья31%
Победа гостей31%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев39% selection probability
Projected score1–1СД АукасФК Леонес
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше61% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
39% / 31% / 31%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.7%)Двойной шанс1269.3%1.44
Больше 39% · Меньше 61%Goals 2.5Меньше61%1.64
Да 46% · Нет 54%Обе забьютНет54%1.85
2.25 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.0 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
СД Аукас win39%2.56
Ничья31%3.23
ФК Леонес win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

СД Аукас1.24

Хозяева share of expected goals 55.1%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 39% · Меньше 61%

ФК Леонес1.01

Гости share of expected goals 44.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 46% · Нет 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

СД Аукас

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Леонес

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Баллы9

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.24
Expected goals
1.01
СД АукасФК Леонес
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01СД Аукас signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Леонес signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

СД Аукас vs ФК Леонес FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

СД Аукас выигрыш 39%,Ничья 31%,ФК Леонес выигрыш 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · ТБ 2.5 39% · Current selection Меньше