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INT Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Partido ·

SD Aucas vs Leones FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.25 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local39%
Empate31%
Victoria visitante31%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local39% selection probability
Projected score1–1SD AucasLeones FC
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de61% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
39% / 31% / 31%Resultado del partidoVictoria local39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.6%)Doble Oportunidad1269.4%1.44
Más de 39% · Menos de 61%Goals 2.5Menos de61%1.64
Sí 46% · No 54%Ambos equipos marcanNo54%1.85
2.25 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.0 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
SD Aucas win39%2.56
Empate31%3.23
Leones FC win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SD Aucas1.24

Local share of expected goals 55.1%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 39% · Menos de 61%

Leones FC1.01

Visitante share of expected goals 44.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 46% · No 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

SD Aucas

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Leones FC

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puntos9

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Ganado probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.24
Expected goals
1.01
SD AucasLeones FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SD Aucas signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Leones FC signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

SD Aucas vs Leones FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SD Aucas ganada 39%,Empate 31%,Leones FC ganada 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · Más de 2.5 39% · Current selection Menos de