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INT Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Spiel ·

SD Aucas vs Leones FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.25 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg39%
Unentschieden31%
Auswärtssieg31%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg39% selection probability
Projected score1–1SD AucasLeones FC
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter61% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
39% / 31% / 31%SpielergebnisHeimsieg39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.6%)Doppelte Chance1269.4%1.44
Über 39% · Unter 61%Goals 2.5Unter61%1.64
Ja 46% · Nein 54%Beide Teams treffenNein54%1.85
2.25 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.0 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
SD Aucas win39%2.56
Unentschieden31%3.23
Leones FC win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SD Aucas1.24

Heim share of expected goals 55.1%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 39% · Unter 61%

Leones FC1.01

Auswärts share of expected goals 44.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nein 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

SD Aucas

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Leones FC

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkte9

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.24
Expected goals
1.01
SD AucasLeones FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SD Aucas signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Leones FC signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

SD Aucas vs Leones FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SD Aucas Gewinn 39%,Unentschieden 31%,Leones FC Gewinn 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · Über 2.5 39% · Current selection Unter