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Barcelona Guayaquil vs Macara

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–12.01 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng36%
Hòa32%
Đội khách thắng32%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Barcelona GuayaquilMacara
Expected goals2.01Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu68% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
36% / 32% / 32%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Macara win (31.6%)Cơ hội kép1X68.4%1.46
Tài 32% · Xỉu 68%Goals 2.5Xỉu68%1.47
Có 40% · Không 60%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông60%1.67
2.01 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
9.2 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Không snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityTỷ lệ công bằng
Barcelona Guayaquil win36%2.78
Hòa32%3.13
Macara win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Barcelona Guayaquil1.07

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 53.2%

Total expected goals2.01Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Tài 32% · Xỉu 68%

Macara0.94

Khách share of expected goals 46.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 40% · Không 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Barcelona Guayaquil

1.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Điểm5

SignalChủ nhà matches under 2.5: 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Macara

2.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Điểm12

SignalKhách unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Thắng probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
12
1.07
Expected goals
0.94
Barcelona GuayaquilMacara
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Barcelona Guayaquil signalChủ nhà matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Macara signalKhách unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Barcelona Guayaquil vs Macara FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Barcelona Guayaquil thắng 36%,Hòa 32%,Macara thắng 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.01 · Tài 2.5 32% · Current selection Xỉu