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INT Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Maç ·

Guayaquil City vs Emelec

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–11.86 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır32%
Beraberlik31%
Deplasman kazanır37%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Guayaquil CityEmelec
Expected goals1.86Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt71% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
32% / 31% / 37%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.9%)Çifte Şans1269.1%1.45
Üst 29% · Alt 71%Goals 2.5Alt71%1.41
Evet 35% · Hayır 65%Karşılıklı gol varHayır65%1.54
1.86 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
9.0 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.7%Largest probability gapEmelec winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Guayaquil City win32%3.133.0030.7%+1.3 pp
Beraberlik31%3.233.0030.7%+0.3 pp
Emelec win37%2.702.3838.7%-1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Guayaquil City1.14

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 61.3%

Total expected goals1.86Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 29% · Alt 71%

Emelec0.72

Deplasman share of expected goals 38.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 35% · Hayır 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Guayaquil City

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puan6

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Emelec

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puan4

SignalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
37%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.14
Expected goals
0.72
Guayaquil CityEmelec
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Guayaquil City signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Emelec signalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Guayaquil City vs Emelec FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Guayaquil City kazanç 32%,Beraberlik 31%,Emelec kazanç 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.86 · 2.5 Üst 29% · Current selection Alt