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Guayaquil City vs Emelec

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–11.86 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa34%
Pareggio31%
Vittoria ospite35%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Guayaquil CityEmelec
Expected goals1.86Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto71% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
34% / 31% / 35%Esito partitaVittoria ospite35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.6%)Doppia Chance1269.4%1.44
Sopra 29% · Sotto 71%Goals 2.5Sotto71%1.41
Sì 35% · No 65%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo65%1.54
1.86 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.7%Largest probability gapEmelec winDifference-1.5 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Guayaquil City win34%2.942.7533.1%+0.9 pp
Pareggio31%3.233.0030.4%+0.6 pp
Emelec win35%2.862.5036.5%-1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Guayaquil City1.14

Casa share of expected goals 61.3%

Total expected goals1.86Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 29% · Sotto 71%

Emelec0.72

Trasferta share of expected goals 38.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 35% · No 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Guayaquil City

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punti6

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Emelec

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Vinta probability excluding draw
35%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.14
Expected goals
0.72
Guayaquil CityEmelec
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Guayaquil City signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Emelec signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Guayaquil City vs Emelec FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Guayaquil City vinta 34%,Pareggio 31%,Emelec vinta 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.86 · Sopra 2.5 29% · Current selection Sotto