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INT Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Матч ·

Гуаякиль Сити vs Эмелек

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.86 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев34%
Ничья31%
Победа гостей35%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Гуаякиль СитиЭмелек
Expected goals1.86Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше71% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
34% / 31% / 35%Исход матчаПобеда гостей35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.6%)Двойной шанс1269.4%1.44
Больше 29% · Меньше 71%Goals 2.5Меньше71%1.41
Да 35% · Нет 65%Обе забьютНет65%1.54
1.86 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.0 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.7%Largest probability gapЭмелек winDifference-1.5 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Гуаякиль Сити win34%2.942.7533.1%+0.9 pp
Ничья31%3.233.0030.4%+0.6 pp
Эмелек win35%2.862.5036.5%-1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Гуаякиль Сити1.14

Хозяева share of expected goals 61.3%

Total expected goals1.86Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 29% · Меньше 71%

Эмелек0.72

Гости share of expected goals 38.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 35% · Нет 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Гуаякиль Сити

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Баллы6

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Эмелек

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
35%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.14
Expected goals
0.72
Гуаякиль СитиЭмелек
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Гуаякиль Сити signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Эмелек signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Гуаякиль Сити vs Эмелек FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Гуаякиль Сити выигрыш 34%,Ничья 31%,Эмелек выигрыш 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.86 · ТБ 2.5 29% · Current selection Меньше