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INT Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Mecz ·

Guayaquil City vs Emelec

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–11.86 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy32%
Remis31%
Wygrana gości37%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Guayaquil CityEmelec
Expected goals1.86Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej71% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
32% / 31% / 37%Wynik meczuWygrana gości37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.9%)Podwójna szansa1269.1%1.45
Powyżej 29% · Poniżej 71%Goals 2.5Poniżej71%1.41
Tak 35% · Nie 65%Obie drużyny strzeląNie65%1.54
1.86 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
9.0 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.7%Largest probability gapEmelec winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Guayaquil City win32%3.133.0030.7%+1.3 pp
Remis31%3.233.0030.7%+0.3 pp
Emelec win37%2.702.3838.7%-1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Guayaquil City1.14

Gospodarze share of expected goals 61.3%

Total expected goals1.86Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 29% · Poniżej 71%

Emelec0.72

Goście share of expected goals 38.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 35% · Nie 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Guayaquil City

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkty6

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Emelec

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
37%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.14
Expected goals
0.72
Guayaquil CityEmelec
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Guayaquil City signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Emelec signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Guayaquil City vs Emelec FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Guayaquil City wygrana 32%,Remis 31%,Emelec wygrana 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.86 · Powyżej 2.5 29% · Current selection Poniżej