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INT Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Fixture ·

Guayaquil City vs Emelec

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.86 expected goals
Away form
Home win34%
Draw31%
Away win35%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Guayaquil CityEmelec
Expected goals1.86Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under71% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
34% / 31% / 35%Match resultAway win35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.6%)Double chance1269.4%1.44
Over 29% · Under 71%Goals 2.5Under71%1.41
Yes 35% · No 65%Both teams scoreNo65%1.54
1.86 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.7%Largest probability gapEmelec winDifference-1.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Guayaquil City win34%2.942.7533.1%+0.9 pp
Draw31%3.233.0030.4%+0.6 pp
Emelec win35%2.862.5036.5%-1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Guayaquil City1.14

Home share of expected goals 61.3%

Total expected goals1.86Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 29% · Under 71%

Emelec0.72

Away share of expected goals 38.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 35% · No 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Guayaquil City

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Emelec

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Win probability excluding draw
35%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.14
Expected goals
0.72
Guayaquil CityEmelec
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Guayaquil City signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Emelec signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Guayaquil City vs Emelec FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Guayaquil City win 34%,Draw 31%,Emelec win 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.86 · Over 2.5 29% · Current selection Under