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INT Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Мач ·

Гуаякил Сити vs Емелек

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–11.86 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина32%
Равен31%
Победа за госта37%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Гуаякил СитиЕмелек
Expected goals1.86Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под71% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
32% / 31% / 37%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.9%)Двоен шанс1269.1%1.45
Над 29% · Под 71%Goals 2.5Под71%1.41
Да 35% · Не 65%И двата отбора да отбележатНе65%1.54
1.86 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.0 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.7%Largest probability gapЕмелек winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Гуаякил Сити win32%3.133.0030.7%+1.3 pp
Равен31%3.233.0030.7%+0.3 pp
Емелек win37%2.702.3838.7%-1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Гуаякил Сити1.14

Домакин share of expected goals 61.3%

Total expected goals1.86Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 29% · Под 71%

Емелек0.72

Гост share of expected goals 38.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 35% · Не 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Гуаякил Сити

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Точки6

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Емелек

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
37%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.14
Expected goals
0.72
Гуаякил СитиЕмелек
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Гуаякил Сити signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Емелек signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Гуаякил Сити vs Емелек FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Гуаякил Сити печеливш 32%,Равен 31%,Емелек печеливш 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.86 · Над 2.5 29% · Current selection Под