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INT Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Meci ·

Guayaquil City vs Emelec

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–11.86 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde32%
Egal31%
Victorie oaspeți37%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Guayaquil CityEmelec
Expected goals1.86Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub71% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
32% / 31% / 37%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.9%)Șansă dublă1269.1%1.45
Peste 29% · Sub 71%Goals 2.5Sub71%1.41
Da 35% · Nu 65%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu65%1.54
1.86 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.7%Largest probability gapEmelec winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Guayaquil City win32%3.133.0030.7%+1.3 pp
Egal31%3.233.0030.7%+0.3 pp
Emelec win37%2.702.3838.7%-1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Guayaquil City1.14

Gazde share of expected goals 61.3%

Total expected goals1.86Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 29% · Sub 71%

Emelec0.72

Oaspeți share of expected goals 38.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 35% · Nu 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Guayaquil City

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puncte6

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Emelec

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Câștig probability excluding draw
37%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.14
Expected goals
0.72
Guayaquil CityEmelec
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Guayaquil City signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Emelec signalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Guayaquil City vs Emelec FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Guayaquil City câștig 32%,Egal 31%,Emelec câștig 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.86 · Peste 2.5 29% · Current selection Sub