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INT England - Southern League Div One · Match ·

Swindon Supermarine vs Shaftesbury

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score3–24.42 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger38%
Oavgjort24%
Bortaseger38%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger38% selection probability
Projected score3–2Swindon SupermarineShaftesbury
Expected goals4.42Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över82% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa77% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
38% / 24% / 38%MatchresultatBortaseger38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.7%)Dubbelchans1276.3%1.31
Över 82% · Under 18%Goals 2.5Över82%1.22
Ja 77% · Nej 23%Båda lagen gör målJa77%1.30
4.42 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–2
9.2 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapSwindon Supermarine winDifference+1.7 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Swindon Supermarine win38%2.632.4536.3%+1.7 pp
Oavgjort24%4.173.7024.1%-0.1 pp
Shaftesbury win38%2.632.2539.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Swindon Supermarine2.64

Hemma share of expected goals 59.7%

Total expected goals4.42Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 82% · Under 18%

Shaftesbury1.78

Borta share of expected goals 40.3%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitJa 77% · Nej 23%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Swindon Supermarine

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Shaftesbury

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
38%
10
Points from supplied form
4
2.64
Expected goals
1.78
Swindon SupermarineShaftesbury
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Swindon Supermarine signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shaftesbury signalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Swindon Supermarine vs Shaftesbury FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 3–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Swindon Supermarine vunnen 38%,Oavgjort 24%,Shaftesbury vunnen 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.42 · Över 2.5 82% · Current selection Över