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INT Anglie - Southern League Div One · Zápas ·

Swindon Supermarine vs Shaftesbury

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score3–24.42 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích38%
Remíza24%
Výhra hostů38%
Full model forecastVýhra hostůTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostů38% selection probability
Projected score3–2Swindon SupermarineShaftesbury
Expected goals4.42Otevírací match profile
Goals 2.5Více82% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno77% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
38% / 24% / 38%Výsledek zápasuVýhra hostů38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.7%)Dvojitá šance1276.3%1.31
Více 82% · Méně 18%Goals 2.5Více82%1.22
Ano 77% · Ne 23%Oba týmy skórujíAno77%1.30
4.42 total expected goalsPřesné skóre3–2
9.2 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapSwindon Supermarine winDifference+1.7 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Swindon Supermarine win38%2.632.4536.3%+1.7 pp
Remíza24%4.173.7024.1%-0.1 pp
Shaftesbury win38%2.632.2539.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Swindon Supermarine2.64

Domácí share of expected goals 59.7%

Total expected goals4.42Otevírací

Dedicated goals model: Více 82% · Méně 18%

Shaftesbury1.78

Hosté share of expected goals 40.3%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitAno 77% · Ne 23%Match profileOtevírací
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Swindon Supermarine

2.00pts / match
Odehráno5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Shaftesbury

0.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Výhra probability excluding draw
38%
10
Points from supplied form
4
2.64
Expected goals
1.78
Swindon SupermarineShaftesbury
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Swindon Supermarine signalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shaftesbury signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Swindon Supermarine vs Shaftesbury FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostů · Projected score 3–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Swindon Supermarine výhra 38%,Remíza 24%,Shaftesbury výhra 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.42 · Více 2.5 82% · Current selection Více