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INT Angleterre - Southern League Div One · Match ·

Swindon Supermarine vs Shaftesbury

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score3–24.42 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile38%
Nul24%
Victoire à l’extérieur38%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur38% selection probability
Projected score3–2Swindon SupermarineShaftesbury
Expected goals4.42Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de82% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui77% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
38% / 24% / 38%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.7%)Double chance1276.3%1.31
Plus de 82% · Moins de 18%Goals 2.5Plus de82%1.22
Oui 77% · Non 23%Les deux équipes marquentOui77%1.30
4.42 total expected goalsScore exact3–2
9.2 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapSwindon Supermarine winDifference+1.7 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Swindon Supermarine win38%2.632.4536.3%+1.7 pp
Nul24%4.173.7024.1%-0.1 pp
Shaftesbury win38%2.632.2539.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Swindon Supermarine2.64

Domicile share of expected goals 59.7%

Total expected goals4.42Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 82% · Moins de 18%

Shaftesbury1.78

Extérieur share of expected goals 40.3%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitOui 77% · Non 23%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Swindon Supermarine

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Shaftesbury

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gagné probability excluding draw
38%
10
Points from supplied form
4
2.64
Expected goals
1.78
Swindon SupermarineShaftesbury
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Swindon Supermarine signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shaftesbury signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Swindon Supermarine vs Shaftesbury FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 3–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Swindon Supermarine victoire 38%,Nul 24%,Shaftesbury victoire 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.42 · Plus de 2.5 82% · Current selection Plus de