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INT Anglia - Southern League Div One · Meci ·

Swindon Supermarine vs Shaftesbury

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score3–24.42 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde38%
Egal24%
Victorie oaspeți38%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți38% selection probability
Projected score3–2Swindon SupermarineShaftesbury
Expected goals4.42Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste82% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa77% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
38% / 24% / 38%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.7%)Șansă dublă1276.3%1.31
Peste 82% · Sub 18%Goals 2.5Peste82%1.22
Da 77% · Nu 23%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa77%1.30
4.42 total expected goalsScor corect3–2
9.2 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapSwindon Supermarine winDifference+1.7 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Swindon Supermarine win38%2.632.4536.3%+1.7 pp
Egal24%4.173.7024.1%-0.1 pp
Shaftesbury win38%2.632.2539.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Swindon Supermarine2.64

Gazde share of expected goals 59.7%

Total expected goals4.42Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 82% · Sub 18%

Shaftesbury1.78

Oaspeți share of expected goals 40.3%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitDa 77% · Nu 23%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Swindon Supermarine

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Shaftesbury

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Câștig probability excluding draw
38%
10
Points from supplied form
4
2.64
Expected goals
1.78
Swindon SupermarineShaftesbury
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Swindon Supermarine signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shaftesbury signalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Swindon Supermarine vs Shaftesbury FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 3–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Swindon Supermarine câștig 38%,Egal 24%,Shaftesbury câștig 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.42 · Peste 2.5 82% · Current selection Peste