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INT Engeland - Southern League Div One · Wedstrijd ·

Swindon Supermarine vs Shaftesbury

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score3–24.42 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst38%
Gelijkspel24%
Uitwinst38%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst38% selection probability
Projected score3–2Swindon SupermarineShaftesbury
Expected goals4.42Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven82% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa77% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
38% / 24% / 38%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.7%)Dubbele Kans1276.3%1.31
Boven 82% · Onder 18%Goals 2.5Boven82%1.22
Ja 77% · Nee 23%Beide teams scorenJa77%1.30
4.42 total expected goalsExacte score3–2
9.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapSwindon Supermarine winDifference+1.7 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Swindon Supermarine win38%2.632.4536.3%+1.7 pp
Gelijkspel24%4.173.7024.1%-0.1 pp
Shaftesbury win38%2.632.2539.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Swindon Supermarine2.64

Thuis share of expected goals 59.7%

Total expected goals4.42Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 82% · Onder 18%

Shaftesbury1.78

Uit share of expected goals 40.3%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitJa 77% · Nee 23%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Swindon Supermarine

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Shaftesbury

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
38%
10
Points from supplied form
4
2.64
Expected goals
1.78
Swindon SupermarineShaftesbury
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Swindon Supermarine signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shaftesbury signalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Swindon Supermarine vs Shaftesbury FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 3–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Swindon Supermarine gewonnen 38%,Gelijkspel 24%,Shaftesbury gewonnen 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.42 · Boven 2.5 82% · Current selection Boven