Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
38% / 24% / 38%Match resultAway win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.7%)Double chance1276.3%1.31
Over 82% · Under 18%Goals 2.5Over82%1.22
Yes 77% · No 23%Both teams scoreYes77%1.30
4.42 total expected goalsCorrect score3–2——
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapSwindon Supermarine winDifference+1.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Swindon Supermarine win38%2.632.4536.3%+1.7 pp
Draw24%4.173.7024.1%-0.1 pp
Shaftesbury win38%2.632.2539.6%-1.6 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 59.7%
Total expected goals4.42Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 82% · Under 18%
Away share of expected goals 40.3%
Projected score3–2BTTS splitYes 77% · No 23%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchSwindon Supermarine
WDWLW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchShaftesbury
LLLDW
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
38%
Win probability excluding draw
38%10
Points from supplied form
42.64
Expected goals
1.78Swindon SupermarineShaftesbury
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.
Match questions
Swindon Supermarine vs Shaftesbury FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 3–2 · 38% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Swindon Supermarine win 38%，Draw 24%，Shaftesbury win 38%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 4.42 · Over 2.5 82% · Current selection Over。