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INT Inglaterra - Southern League - Division One · Partida ·

Swindon Supermarine vs Shaftesbury

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score3–24.42 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa38%
Empate24%
Vitória visitante38%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante38% selection probability
Projected score3–2Swindon SupermarineShaftesbury
Expected goals4.42Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima82% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim77% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
38% / 24% / 38%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.7%)Dupla Chance1276.3%1.31
Acima 82% · Abaixo 18%Goals 2.5Acima82%1.22
Sim 77% · Não 23%Ambas as equipes marcamSim77%1.30
4.42 total expected goalsPlacar exato3–2
9.2 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapSwindon Supermarine winDifference+1.7 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Swindon Supermarine win38%2.632.4536.3%+1.7 pp
Empate24%4.173.7024.1%-0.1 pp
Shaftesbury win38%2.632.2539.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Swindon Supermarine2.64

Mandante share of expected goals 59.7%

Total expected goals4.42Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 82% · Abaixo 18%

Shaftesbury1.78

Visitante share of expected goals 40.3%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitSim 77% · Não 23%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Swindon Supermarine

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Shaftesbury

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
38%
10
Points from supplied form
4
2.64
Expected goals
1.78
Swindon SupermarineShaftesbury
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Swindon Supermarine signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shaftesbury signalMandante matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Swindon Supermarine vs Shaftesbury FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 3–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Swindon Supermarine ganhou 38%,Empate 24%,Shaftesbury ganhou 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.42 · Acima 2.5 82% · Current selection Acima