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INT Англия - Южна лига - Дивизия 1 · Мач ·

Суиндън Супермарийн vs Шафтсбъри

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score3–24.42 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина38%
Равен24%
Победа за госта38%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта38% selection probability
Projected score3–2Суиндън СупермарийнШафтсбъри
Expected goals4.42Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над82% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа77% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
38% / 24% / 38%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.7%)Двоен шанс1276.3%1.31
Над 82% · Под 18%Goals 2.5Над82%1.22
Да 77% · Не 23%И двата отбора да отбележатДа77%1.30
4.42 total expected goalsТочен резултат3–2
9.2 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapСуиндън Супермарийн winDifference+1.7 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Суиндън Супермарийн win38%2.632.4536.3%+1.7 pp
Равен24%4.173.7024.1%-0.1 pp
Шафтсбъри win38%2.632.2539.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Суиндън Супермарийн2.64

Домакин share of expected goals 59.7%

Total expected goals4.42Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 82% · Под 18%

Шафтсбъри1.78

Гост share of expected goals 40.3%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitДа 77% · Не 23%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Суиндън Супермарийн

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Шафтсбъри

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
38%
10
Points from supplied form
4
2.64
Expected goals
1.78
Суиндън СупермарийнШафтсбъри
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Суиндън Супермарийн signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Шафтсбъри signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Суиндън Супермарийн vs Шафтсбъри FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 3–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Суиндън Супермарийн печеливш 38%,Равен 24%,Шафтсбъри печеливш 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.42 · Над 2.5 82% · Current selection Над