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ARG Argentina Championship Women · Match ·

Independiente (D) vs Belgrano (D)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score0–11.73 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger20%
Oavgjort29%
Bortaseger51%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger51% selection probability
Projected score0–1Independiente (D)Belgrano (D)
Expected goals1.73Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under75% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej80% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
20% / 29% / 51%MatchresultatBortaseger51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Independiente (D) win (20.2%)DubbelchansX279.8%1.25
Över 25% · Under 75%Goals 2.5Under75%1.33
Ja 20% · Nej 80%Båda lagen gör målNej80%1.25
1.73 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat0–1
7.9 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapIndependiente (D) winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Independiente (D) win20%5.004.1021.7%-1.7 pp
Oavgjort29%3.453.1028.7%+0.3 pp
Belgrano (D) win51%1.961.8049.5%+1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Independiente (D)0.31

Hemma share of expected goals 17.9%

Total expected goals1.73Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 25% · Under 75%

Belgrano (D)1.42

Borta share of expected goals 82.1%

Projected score0–1BTTS splitJa 20% · Nej 80%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Independiente (D)

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Poäng3

SignalHemma failed to score: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Belgrano (D)

2.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Poäng12

SignalBorta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
51%
3
Points from supplied form
12
0.31
Expected goals
1.42
Independiente (D)Belgrano (D)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Independiente (D) signalHemma failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Belgrano (D) signalBorta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Independiente (D) vs Belgrano (D) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 0–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Independiente (D) vunnen 20%,Oavgjort 29%,Belgrano (D) vunnen 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.73 · Över 2.5 25% · Current selection Under