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ARG Argentina Championship Women · Zápas ·

Independiente (Ž) vs Belgrano (Ž)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score0–11.73 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich20%
Remíza29%
Výhra hostí51%
Full model forecastVýhra hostíTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostí51% selection probability
Projected score0–1Independiente (Ž)Belgrano (Ž)
Expected goals1.73Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menej75% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie80% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
20% / 29% / 51%Výsledok zápasuVýhra hostí51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Independiente (Ž) win (20.2%)Dvojitá šancaX279.8%1.25
Viac 25% · Menej 75%Goals 2.5Menej75%1.33
Áno 20% · Nie 80%Oba tímy skórujúNie80%1.25
1.73 total expected goalsPresné skóre0–1
7.9 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapIndependiente (Ž) winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Independiente (Ž) win20%5.004.1021.7%-1.7 pp
Remíza29%3.453.1028.7%+0.3 pp
Belgrano (Ž) win51%1.961.8049.5%+1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Independiente (Ž)0.31

Domáci share of expected goals 17.9%

Total expected goals1.73Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Viac 25% · Menej 75%

Belgrano (Ž)1.42

Hostia share of expected goals 82.1%

Projected score0–1BTTS splitÁno 20% · Nie 80%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Independiente (Ž)

0.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Body3

SignalDomáci failed to score: 3/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Belgrano (Ž)

2.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Body12

SignalHostia unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Výhra probability excluding draw
51%
3
Points from supplied form
12
0.31
Expected goals
1.42
Independiente (Ž)Belgrano (Ž)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Independiente (Ž) signalDomáci failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Belgrano (Ž) signalHostia unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Independiente (Ž) vs Belgrano (Ž) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostí · Projected score 0–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Independiente (Ž) výhra 20%,Remíza 29%,Belgrano (Ž) výhra 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.73 · Viac 2.5 25% · Current selection Menej