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ARG Argentina Championship Women · Maç ·

Independiente (W) vs Belgrano (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score0–11.73 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır20%
Beraberlik29%
Deplasman kazanır51%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır51% selection probability
Projected score0–1Independiente (W)Belgrano (W)
Expected goals1.73Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt75% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır80% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
20% / 29% / 51%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Independiente (W) win (20.2%)Çifte ŞansX279.8%1.25
Üst 25% · Alt 75%Goals 2.5Alt75%1.33
Evet 20% · Hayır 80%Karşılıklı gol varHayır80%1.25
1.73 total expected goalsDoğru skor0–1
7.9 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapIndependiente (W) winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Independiente (W) win20%5.004.1021.7%-1.7 pp
Beraberlik29%3.453.1028.7%+0.3 pp
Belgrano (W) win51%1.961.8049.5%+1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Independiente (W)0.31

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 17.9%

Total expected goals1.73Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 25% · Alt 75%

Belgrano (W)1.42

Deplasman share of expected goals 82.1%

Projected score0–1BTTS splitEvet 20% · Hayır 80%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Independiente (W)

0.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puan3

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 3/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Belgrano (W)

2.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puan12

SignalDeplasman unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
51%
3
Points from supplied form
12
0.31
Expected goals
1.42
Independiente (W)Belgrano (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Independiente (W) signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Belgrano (W) signalDeplasman unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Independiente (W) vs Belgrano (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 0–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Independiente (W) kazanç 20%,Beraberlik 29%,Belgrano (W) kazanç 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.73 · 2.5 Üst 25% · Current selection Alt