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ARG Argentina Championship Women · Mecz ·

Independiente (K) vs Belgrano (K)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score0–11.74 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy18%
Remis28%
Wygrana gości55%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości55% selection probability
Projected score0–1Independiente (K)Belgrano (K)
Expected goals1.74Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej75% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie79% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
18% / 28% / 55%Wynik meczuWygrana gości55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Independiente (K) win (17.6%)Podwójna szansaX282.4%1.21
Powyżej 25% · Poniżej 75%Goals 2.5Poniżej75%1.33
Tak 21% · Nie 79%Obie drużyny strzeląNie79%1.27
1.74 total expected goalsDokładny wynik0–1
7.9 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapBelgrano (K) winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Independiente (K) win18%5.564.7518.8%-0.8 pp
Remis28%3.573.2527.5%+0.5 pp
Belgrano (K) win55%1.821.6753.6%+1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Independiente (K)0.31

Gospodarze share of expected goals 17.8%

Total expected goals1.74Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 25% · Poniżej 75%

Belgrano (K)1.43

Goście share of expected goals 82.2%

Projected score0–1BTTS splitTak 21% · Nie 79%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Independiente (K)

0.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkty3

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Belgrano (K)

2.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkty12

SignalGoście unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
18%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
55%
3
Points from supplied form
12
0.31
Expected goals
1.43
Independiente (K)Belgrano (K)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Independiente (K) signalGospodarze failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Belgrano (K) signalGoście unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Independiente (K) vs Belgrano (K) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 0–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Independiente (K) wygrana 18%,Remis 28%,Belgrano (K) wygrana 55%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.74 · Powyżej 2.5 25% · Current selection Poniżej