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ARG Argentina Championship Women · Match ·

Independiente (F) vs Belgrano (F)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score0–11.74 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile18%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur55%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur55% selection probability
Projected score0–1Independiente (F)Belgrano (F)
Expected goals1.74Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de75% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon79% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
18% / 28% / 55%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Independiente (F) win (17.6%)Double chanceX282.4%1.21
Plus de 25% · Moins de 75%Goals 2.5Moins de75%1.33
Oui 21% · Non 79%Les deux équipes marquentNon79%1.27
1.74 total expected goalsScore exact0–1
7.9 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapBelgrano (F) winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Independiente (F) win18%5.564.7518.8%-0.8 pp
Nul28%3.573.2527.5%+0.5 pp
Belgrano (F) win55%1.821.6753.6%+1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Independiente (F)0.31

Domicile share of expected goals 17.8%

Total expected goals1.74Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 25% · Moins de 75%

Belgrano (F)1.43

Extérieur share of expected goals 82.2%

Projected score0–1BTTS splitOui 21% · Non 79%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Independiente (F)

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Belgrano (F)

2.40pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
18%
Gagné probability excluding draw
55%
3
Points from supplied form
12
0.31
Expected goals
1.43
Independiente (F)Belgrano (F)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Independiente (F) signalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Belgrano (F) signalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Independiente (F) vs Belgrano (F) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 0–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Independiente (F) victoire 18%,Nul 28%,Belgrano (F) victoire 55%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.74 · Plus de 2.5 25% · Current selection Moins de