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ARG Argentina Championship Women · Match ·

Union Santa Fe (W) vs River Plate (F)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–22.79 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile15%
Nul22%
Victoire à l’extérieur63%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur63% selection probability
Projected score1–2Union Santa Fe (W)River Plate (F)
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de53% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon58% for the selected side
Expected corners7.8Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
15% / 22% / 63%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Union Santa Fe (W) win (14.9%)Double chanceX285.1%1.18
Plus de 53% · Moins de 47%Goals 2.5Plus de53%1.89
Oui 42% · Non 58%Les deux équipes marquentNon58%1.72
2.79 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
7.8 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.8%Largest probability gapRiver Plate (F) winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Union Santa Fe (W) win15%6.675.7515.4%-0.4 pp
Nul22%4.554.0022.2%-0.2 pp
River Plate (F) win63%1.591.4262.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Union Santa Fe (W)0.65

Domicile share of expected goals 23.3%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 53% · Moins de 47%

River Plate (F)2.14

Extérieur share of expected goals 76.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 42% · Non 58%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Union Santa Fe (W)

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

River Plate (F)

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
15%
Gagné probability excluding draw
63%
4
Points from supplied form
9
0.65
Expected goals
2.14
Union Santa Fe (W)River Plate (F)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Union Santa Fe (W) signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02River Plate (F) signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Union Santa Fe (W) vs River Plate (F) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Union Santa Fe (W) victoire 15%,Nul 22%,River Plate (F) victoire 63%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Plus de 2.5 53% · Current selection Plus de