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ARG Argentina Championship Women · Мач ·

Union Santa Fe (W) vs Ривър Плейт (Ж)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–22.79 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина15%
Равен22%
Победа за госта63%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта63% selection probability
Projected score1–2Union Santa Fe (W)Ривър Плейт (Ж)
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над53% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе58% for the selected side
Expected corners7.8Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
15% / 22% / 63%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Union Santa Fe (W) win (14.9%)Двоен шансX285.1%1.18
Над 53% · Под 47%Goals 2.5Над53%1.89
Да 42% · Не 58%И двата отбора да отбележатНе58%1.72
2.79 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–2
7.8 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.8%Largest probability gapРивър Плейт (Ж) winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Union Santa Fe (W) win15%6.675.7515.4%-0.4 pp
Равен22%4.554.0022.2%-0.2 pp
Ривър Плейт (Ж) win63%1.591.4262.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Union Santa Fe (W)0.65

Домакин share of expected goals 23.3%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 53% · Под 47%

Ривър Плейт (Ж)2.14

Гост share of expected goals 76.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 42% · Не 58%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Union Santa Fe (W)

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Ривър Плейт (Ж)

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
15%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
63%
4
Points from supplied form
9
0.65
Expected goals
2.14
Union Santa Fe (W)Ривър Плейт (Ж)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Union Santa Fe (W) signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ривър Плейт (Ж) signalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Union Santa Fe (W) vs Ривър Плейт (Ж) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–2 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Union Santa Fe (W) печеливш 15%,Равен 22%,Ривър Плейт (Ж) печеливш 63%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Над 2.5 53% · Current selection Над