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ARG Argentina Championship Women · Fixture ·

Union Santa Fe (W) vs River Plate (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.79 expected goals
Away form
Home win15%
Draw22%
Away win63%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win63% selection probability
Projected score1–2Union Santa Fe (W)River Plate (W)
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo58% for the selected side
Expected corners7.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
15% / 22% / 63%Match resultAway win63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Union Santa Fe (W) win (14.9%)Double chanceX285.1%1.18
Over 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Over53%1.89
Yes 42% · No 58%Both teams scoreNo58%1.72
2.79 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
7.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.8%Largest probability gapRiver Plate (W) winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Union Santa Fe (W) win15%6.675.7515.4%-0.4 pp
Draw22%4.554.0022.2%-0.2 pp
River Plate (W) win63%1.591.4262.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Union Santa Fe (W)0.65

Home share of expected goals 23.3%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 53% · Under 47%

River Plate (W)2.14

Away share of expected goals 76.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 42% · No 58%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Union Santa Fe (W)

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

River Plate (W)

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
15%
Win probability excluding draw
63%
4
Points from supplied form
9
0.65
Expected goals
2.14
Union Santa Fe (W)River Plate (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Union Santa Fe (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02River Plate (W) signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Union Santa Fe (W) vs River Plate (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Union Santa Fe (W) win 15%,Draw 22%,River Plate (W) win 63%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Over 2.5 53% · Current selection Over