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ARG Argentina Championship Women · Partido ·

Union Santa Fe (W) vs River Plate (F)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–22.78 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local15%
Empate22%
Victoria visitante63%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante63% selection probability
Projected score1–2Union Santa Fe (W)River Plate (F)
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de53% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo58% for the selected side
Expected corners7.8Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
15% / 22% / 63%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Union Santa Fe (W) win (14.9%)Doble OportunidadX285.1%1.18
Más de 53% · Menos de 47%Goals 2.5Más de53%1.89
Sí 42% · No 58%Ambos equipos marcanNo58%1.72
2.78 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–2
7.8 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.8%Largest probability gapRiver Plate (F) winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Union Santa Fe (W) win15%6.675.7515.4%-0.4 pp
Empate22%4.554.0022.2%-0.2 pp
River Plate (F) win63%1.591.4262.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Union Santa Fe (W)0.64

Local share of expected goals 23%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 53% · Menos de 47%

River Plate (F)2.14

Visitante share of expected goals 77%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 42% · No 58%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Union Santa Fe (W)

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

River Plate (F)

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
15%
Ganado probability excluding draw
63%
4
Points from supplied form
9
0.64
Expected goals
2.14
Union Santa Fe (W)River Plate (F)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Union Santa Fe (W) signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02River Plate (F) signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Union Santa Fe (W) vs River Plate (F) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–2 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Union Santa Fe (W) ganada 15%,Empate 22%,River Plate (F) ganada 63%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · Más de 2.5 53% · Current selection Más de