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ARG Argentina Championship Women · Kamp ·

Union Santa Fe (W) vs River Plate (K)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–22.79 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr15%
Uafgjort22%
Udesejr63%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr63% selection probability
Projected score1–2Union Santa Fe (W)River Plate (K)
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over53% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej58% for the selected side
Expected corners7.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
15% / 22% / 63%KampresultatUdesejr63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Union Santa Fe (W) win (14.9%)DobbeltchanceX285.1%1.18
Over 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Over53%1.89
Ja 42% · Nej 58%Begge hold scorerNej58%1.72
2.79 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
7.8 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.8%Largest probability gapRiver Plate (K) winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Union Santa Fe (W) win15%6.675.7515.4%-0.4 pp
Uafgjort22%4.554.0022.2%-0.2 pp
River Plate (K) win63%1.591.4262.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Union Santa Fe (W)0.65

Hjemme share of expected goals 23.3%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 53% · Under 47%

River Plate (K)2.14

Ude share of expected goals 76.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 42% · Nej 58%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Union Santa Fe (W)

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Point4

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

River Plate (K)

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
15%
Vundet probability excluding draw
63%
4
Points from supplied form
9
0.65
Expected goals
2.14
Union Santa Fe (W)River Plate (K)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Union Santa Fe (W) signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02River Plate (K) signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Union Santa Fe (W) vs River Plate (K) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–2 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Union Santa Fe (W) vundet 15%,Uafgjort 22%,River Plate (K) vundet 63%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Over 2.5 53% · Current selection Over