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ARG Argentina Championship Women · Fixture ·

Lanus (W) vs Gimnasia LP (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.50 expected goals
Away form
Home win29%
Draw30%
Away win42%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Lanus (W)Gimnasia LP (W)
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes50% for the selected side
Expected corners7.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
29% / 30% / 42%Match resultAway win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lanus (W) win (28.7%)Double chanceX271.3%1.40
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Yes 50% · No 50%Both teams scoreYes50%2.00
2.50 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
7.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapGimnasia LP (W) winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lanus (W) win29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp
Draw30%3.333.0029.7%+0.3 pp
Gimnasia LP (W) win42%2.382.1541.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lanus (W)1.08

Home share of expected goals 43.2%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%

Gimnasia LP (W)1.42

Away share of expected goals 56.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Lanus (W)

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Gimnasia LP (W)

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Win probability excluding draw
42%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.08
Expected goals
1.42
Lanus (W)Gimnasia LP (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lanus (W) signalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gimnasia LP (W) signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Lanus (W) vs Gimnasia LP (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lanus (W) win 29%,Draw 30%,Gimnasia LP (W) win 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under