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ARG Argentina Championship Women · Fixture ·

Boca Juniors (W) vs Newell's (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–02.19 expected goals
Away form
Home win72%
Draw19%
Away win9%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 72% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win72% selection probability
Projected score2–0Boca Juniors (W)Newell's (W)
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under63% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo77% for the selected side
Expected corners7.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
72% / 19% / 9%Match resultHome win72%1.39
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Newell's (W) win (8.6%)Double chance1X91.4%1.09
Over 37% · Under 63%Goals 2.5Under63%1.59
Yes 23% · No 77%Both teams scoreNo77%1.30
2.19 total expected goalsCorrect score2–0
7.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapBoca Juniors (W) winDifference0.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Boca Juniors (W) win72%1.391.2572%0.0 pp
Draw19%5.264.7519%0.0 pp
Newell's (W) win9%11.1110.009%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Boca Juniors (W)1.87

Home share of expected goals 85.4%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 37% · Under 63%

Newell's (W)0.32

Away share of expected goals 14.6%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitYes 23% · No 77%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Boca Juniors (W)

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Newell's (W)

0.00pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
72%
Win probability excluding draw
9%
8
Points from supplied form
0
1.87
Expected goals
0.32
Boca Juniors (W)Newell's (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Boca Juniors (W) signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Newell's (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk28% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Boca Juniors (W) vs Newell's (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–0 · 72% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Boca Juniors (W) win 72%,Draw 19%,Newell's (W) win 9%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Over 2.5 37% · Current selection Under