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ARG Argentina Championship Women · Match ·

Boca Juniors (F) vs Newell's (F)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–02.19 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile71%
Nul19%
Victoire à l’extérieur10%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 71% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile71% selection probability
Projected score2–0Boca Juniors (F)Newell's (F)
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de63% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon77% for the selected side
Expected corners7.5Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
71% / 19% / 10%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Newell's (F) win (9.6%)Double chance1X90.4%1.11
Plus de 37% · Moins de 63%Goals 2.5Moins de63%1.59
Oui 23% · Non 77%Les deux équipes marquentNon77%1.30
2.19 total expected goalsScore exact2–0
7.5 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.7%Largest probability gapBoca Juniors (F) winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Boca Juniors (F) win71%1.411.2970.7%+0.3 pp
Nul19%5.264.7519.2%-0.2 pp
Newell's (F) win10%10.009.0010.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Boca Juniors (F)1.87

Domicile share of expected goals 85.4%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 37% · Moins de 63%

Newell's (F)0.32

Extérieur share of expected goals 14.6%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitOui 23% · Non 77%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Boca Juniors (F)

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Newell's (F)

0.00pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Gagné probability excluding draw
10%
8
Points from supplied form
0
1.87
Expected goals
0.32
Boca Juniors (F)Newell's (F)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Boca Juniors (F) signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Newell's (F) signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Boca Juniors (F) vs Newell's (F) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–0 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Boca Juniors (F) victoire 71%,Nul 19%,Newell's (F) victoire 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Plus de 2.5 37% · Current selection Moins de