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ARG Argentina Championship Women · Wedstrijd ·

Boca Jeugd (D) vs Newell's (D)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–02.19 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst72%
Gelijkspel19%
Uitwinst9%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 72% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst72% selection probability
Projected score2–0Boca Jeugd (D)Newell's (D)
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder63% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee77% for the selected side
Expected corners7.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
72% / 19% / 9%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst72%1.39
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Newell's (D) win (8.6%)Dubbele Kans1X91.4%1.09
Boven 37% · Onder 63%Goals 2.5Onder63%1.59
Ja 23% · Nee 77%Beide teams scorenNee77%1.30
2.19 total expected goalsExacte score2–0
7.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapBoca Jeugd (D) winDifference0.0 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Boca Jeugd (D) win72%1.391.2572%0.0 pp
Gelijkspel19%5.264.7519%0.0 pp
Newell's (D) win9%11.1110.009%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Boca Jeugd (D)1.87

Thuis share of expected goals 85.4%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 37% · Onder 63%

Newell's (D)0.32

Uit share of expected goals 14.6%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitJa 23% · Nee 77%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Boca Jeugd (D)

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Newell's (D)

0.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Punten0

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
72%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
9%
8
Points from supplied form
0
1.87
Expected goals
0.32
Boca Jeugd (D)Newell's (D)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Boca Jeugd (D) signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Newell's (D) signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk28% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Boca Jeugd (D) vs Newell's (D) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–0 · 72% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Boca Jeugd (D) gewonnen 72%,Gelijkspel 19%,Newell's (D) gewonnen 9%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Boven 2.5 37% · Current selection Onder