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ARG Argentina Championship Women · Match ·

Boca Juniors (D) vs Newell's (D)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–02.19 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger72%
Oavgjort19%
Bortaseger9%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 72% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger72% selection probability
Projected score2–0Boca Juniors (D)Newell's (D)
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under63% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej76% for the selected side
Expected corners7.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
72% / 19% / 9%MatchresultatHemmaseger72%1.39
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Newell's (D) win (8.6%)Dubbelchans1X91.4%1.09
Över 37% · Under 63%Goals 2.5Under63%1.59
Ja 24% · Nej 76%Båda lagen gör målNej76%1.32
2.19 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–0
7.5 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapBoca Juniors (D) winDifference0.0 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Boca Juniors (D) win72%1.391.2572%0.0 pp
Oavgjort19%5.264.7519%0.0 pp
Newell's (D) win9%11.1110.009%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Boca Juniors (D)1.87

Hemma share of expected goals 85.4%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 37% · Under 63%

Newell's (D)0.32

Borta share of expected goals 14.6%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitJa 24% · Nej 76%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Boca Juniors (D)

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Newell's (D)

0.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Poäng0

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
72%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
9%
8
Points from supplied form
0
1.87
Expected goals
0.32
Boca Juniors (D)Newell's (D)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Boca Juniors (D) signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Newell's (D) signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk28% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Boca Juniors (D) vs Newell's (D) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–0 · 72% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Boca Juniors (D) vunnen 72%,Oavgjort 19%,Newell's (D) vunnen 9%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Över 2.5 37% · Current selection Under