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ARG Argentina Championship Women · Meci ·

Independiente (F) vs Belgrano (F)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score0–11.74 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde18%
Egal28%
Victorie oaspeți55%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți55% selection probability
Projected score0–1Independiente (F)Belgrano (F)
Expected goals1.74Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub75% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu79% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
18% / 28% / 55%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Independiente (F) win (17.6%)Șansă dublăX282.4%1.21
Peste 25% · Sub 75%Goals 2.5Sub75%1.33
Da 21% · Nu 79%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu79%1.27
1.74 total expected goalsScor corect0–1
7.9 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapBelgrano (F) winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Independiente (F) win18%5.564.7518.8%-0.8 pp
Egal28%3.573.2527.5%+0.5 pp
Belgrano (F) win55%1.821.6753.6%+1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Independiente (F)0.31

Gazde share of expected goals 17.8%

Total expected goals1.74Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 25% · Sub 75%

Belgrano (F)1.43

Oaspeți share of expected goals 82.2%

Projected score0–1BTTS splitDa 21% · Nu 79%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Independiente (F)

0.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puncte3

SignalGazde failed to score: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Belgrano (F)

2.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puncte12

SignalOaspeți unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
18%
Câștig probability excluding draw
55%
3
Points from supplied form
12
0.31
Expected goals
1.43
Independiente (F)Belgrano (F)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Independiente (F) signalGazde failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Belgrano (F) signalOaspeți unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Independiente (F) vs Belgrano (F) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 0–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Independiente (F) câștig 18%,Egal 28%,Belgrano (F) câștig 55%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.74 · Peste 2.5 25% · Current selection Sub