Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
18% / 28% / 55%Esito partitaVittoria ospite55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Independiente (F) win (17.6%)Doppia ChanceX282.4%1.21
Sopra 25% · Sotto 75%Goals 2.5Sotto75%1.33
Sì 21% · No 79%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo79%1.27
1.74 total expected goalsRisultato esatto0–1——
7.9 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapBelgrano (F) winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Independiente (F) win18%5.564.7518.8%-0.8 pp
Pareggio28%3.573.2527.5%+0.5 pp
Belgrano (F) win55%1.821.6753.6%+1.4 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 17.8%
Total expected goals1.74Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 25% · Sotto 75%
Trasferta share of expected goals 82.2%
Projected score0–1BTTS splitSì 21% · No 79%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchIndependiente (F)
LLLWL
Giocate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punti3
SignalCasa failed to score: 3/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchBelgrano (F)
WLWWW
Giocate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punti12
SignalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
18%
Vinta probability excluding draw
55%3
Points from supplied form
120.31
Expected goals
1.43Independiente (F)Belgrano (F)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Independiente (F) vs Belgrano (F) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 0–1 · 55% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Independiente (F) vinta 18%，Pareggio 28%，Belgrano (F) vinta 55%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.74 · Sopra 2.5 25% · Current selection Sotto。