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ARG Argentina Championship Women · Wedstrijd ·

Independiente (D) vs Belgrano (D)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score0–11.73 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst20%
Gelijkspel29%
Uitwinst51%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst51% selection probability
Projected score0–1Independiente (D)Belgrano (D)
Expected goals1.73Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder75% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee80% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
20% / 29% / 51%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Independiente (D) win (20.2%)Dubbele KansX279.8%1.25
Boven 25% · Onder 75%Goals 2.5Onder75%1.33
Ja 20% · Nee 80%Beide teams scorenNee80%1.25
1.73 total expected goalsExacte score0–1
7.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapIndependiente (D) winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Independiente (D) win20%5.004.1021.7%-1.7 pp
Gelijkspel29%3.453.1028.7%+0.3 pp
Belgrano (D) win51%1.961.8049.5%+1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Independiente (D)0.31

Thuis share of expected goals 17.9%

Total expected goals1.73Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 25% · Onder 75%

Belgrano (D)1.42

Uit share of expected goals 82.1%

Projected score0–1BTTS splitJa 20% · Nee 80%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Independiente (D)

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis failed to score: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Belgrano (D)

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalUit unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
51%
3
Points from supplied form
12
0.31
Expected goals
1.42
Independiente (D)Belgrano (D)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Independiente (D) signalThuis failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Belgrano (D) signalUit unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Independiente (D) vs Belgrano (D) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 0–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Independiente (D) gewonnen 20%,Gelijkspel 29%,Belgrano (D) gewonnen 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.73 · Boven 2.5 25% · Current selection Onder