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ARG Argentina Championship Women · Partido ·

Independiente (F) vs CA Belgrano (F)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score0–11.73 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local20%
Empate29%
Victoria visitante51%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante51% selection probability
Projected score0–1Independiente (F)CA Belgrano (F)
Expected goals1.73Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de75% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo80% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
20% / 29% / 51%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Independiente (F) win (20.2%)Doble OportunidadX279.8%1.25
Más de 25% · Menos de 75%Goals 2.5Menos de75%1.33
Sí 20% · No 80%Ambos equipos marcanNo80%1.25
1.73 total expected goalsMarcador exacto0–1
7.9 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapIndependiente (F) winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Independiente (F) win20%5.004.1021.7%-1.7 pp
Empate29%3.453.1028.7%+0.3 pp
CA Belgrano (F) win51%1.961.8049.5%+1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Independiente (F)0.31

Local share of expected goals 17.9%

Total expected goals1.73Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 25% · Menos de 75%

CA Belgrano (F)1.42

Visitante share of expected goals 82.1%

Projected score0–1BTTS split 20% · No 80%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Independiente (F)

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puntos3

SignalLocal failed to score: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

CA Belgrano (F)

2.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puntos12

SignalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Ganado probability excluding draw
51%
3
Points from supplied form
12
0.31
Expected goals
1.42
Independiente (F)CA Belgrano (F)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Independiente (F) signalLocal failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Belgrano (F) signalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Independiente (F) vs CA Belgrano (F) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 0–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Independiente (F) ganada 20%,Empate 29%,CA Belgrano (F) ganada 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.73 · Más de 2.5 25% · Current selection Menos de