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ESP Испания - Дивизион Примера - Группа 2 · Матч ·

Эркулес vs Реал Мурсия

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.09 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев29%
Ничья29%
Победа гостей42%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей42% selection probability
Projected score1–1ЭркулесРеал Мурсия
Expected goals2.09Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше65% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
29% / 29% / 42%Исход матчаПобеда гостей42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Эркулес win (28.9%)Двойной шансX271.1%1.41
Больше 35% · Меньше 65%Goals 2.5Меньше65%1.54
Да 41% · Нет 59%Обе забьютНет59%1.69
2.09 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.7 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapРеал Мурсия winDifference-1.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Эркулес win29%3.453.2527.5%+1.5 pp
Ничья29%3.453.1028.9%+0.1 pp
Реал Мурсия win42%2.382.0543.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Эркулес1.27

Хозяева share of expected goals 60.8%

Total expected goals2.09Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 35% · Меньше 65%

Реал Мурсия0.82

Гости share of expected goals 39.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 41% · Нет 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Эркулес

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Баллы6

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Реал Мурсия

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
42%
6
Points from supplied form
13
1.27
Expected goals
0.82
ЭркулесРеал Мурсия
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Эркулес signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Реал Мурсия signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Эркулес vs Реал Мурсия FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Эркулес выигрыш 29%,Ничья 29%,Реал Мурсия выигрыш 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.09 · ТБ 2.5 35% · Current selection Меньше