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ESP España - Primera Federación - Grupo 2 · Partido ·

Hércules vs Real Murcia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.09 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local29%
Empate29%
Victoria visitante42%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante42% selection probability
Projected score1–1HérculesReal Murcia
Expected goals2.09Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de65% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
29% / 29% / 42%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hércules win (28.9%)Doble OportunidadX271.1%1.41
Más de 35% · Menos de 65%Goals 2.5Menos de65%1.54
Sí 41% · No 59%Ambos equipos marcanNo59%1.69
2.09 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapReal Murcia winDifference-1.6 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hércules win29%3.453.2527.5%+1.5 pp
Empate29%3.453.1028.9%+0.1 pp
Real Murcia win42%2.382.0543.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hércules1.27

Local share of expected goals 60.8%

Total expected goals2.09Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 35% · Menos de 65%

Real Murcia0.82

Visitante share of expected goals 39.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 41% · No 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Hércules

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puntos6

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Real Murcia

2.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puntos13

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Ganado probability excluding draw
42%
6
Points from supplied form
13
1.27
Expected goals
0.82
HérculesReal Murcia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hércules signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Real Murcia signalLocal matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Hércules vs Real Murcia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hércules ganada 29%,Empate 29%,Real Murcia ganada 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.09 · Más de 2.5 35% · Current selection Menos de