MatchFormula Znajdź mecz
Menu
UTC+8
Strefa czasowaAsia/Shanghai
Polski
ESP Hiszpania - Primera Division RFEF - Grupa 2 · Mecz ·

Hercules vs Real Murcia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.09 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy29%
Remis29%
Wygrana gości42%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości42% selection probability
Projected score1–1HerculesReal Murcia
Expected goals2.09Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej65% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
29% / 29% / 42%Wynik meczuWygrana gości42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hercules win (28.9%)Podwójna szansaX271.1%1.41
Powyżej 35% · Poniżej 65%Goals 2.5Poniżej65%1.54
Tak 41% · Nie 59%Obie drużyny strzeląNie59%1.69
2.09 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
8.7 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapReal Murcia winDifference-1.6 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hercules win29%3.453.2527.5%+1.5 pp
Remis29%3.453.1028.9%+0.1 pp
Real Murcia win42%2.382.0543.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hercules1.27

Gospodarze share of expected goals 60.8%

Total expected goals2.09Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 35% · Poniżej 65%

Real Murcia0.82

Goście share of expected goals 39.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 41% · Nie 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Hercules

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkty6

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Real Murcia

2.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkty13

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
42%
6
Points from supplied form
13
1.27
Expected goals
0.82
HerculesReal Murcia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hercules signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Real Murcia signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Hercules vs Real Murcia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hercules wygrana 29%,Remis 29%,Real Murcia wygrana 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.09 · Powyżej 2.5 35% · Current selection Poniżej