Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
29% / 29% / 42%Match resultAway win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hercules win (28.9%)Double chanceX271.1%1.41
Over 35% · Under 65%Goals 2.5Under65%1.54
Yes 41% · No 59%Both teams scoreNo59%1.69
2.09 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapReal Murcia winDifference-1.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hercules win29%3.453.2527.5%+1.5 pp
Draw29%3.453.1028.9%+0.1 pp
Real Murcia win42%2.382.0543.6%-1.6 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 60.8%
Total expected goals2.09Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 35% · Under 65%
Away share of expected goals 39.2%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 41% · No 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchHercules
LDDDW
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchReal Murcia
WWDWW
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
29%
Win probability excluding draw
42%6
Points from supplied form
131.27
Expected goals
0.82HerculesReal Murcia
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Hercules vs Real Murcia FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Hercules win 29%，Draw 29%，Real Murcia win 42%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.09 · Over 2.5 35% · Current selection Under。