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ESP Испания - Примера Дивисион РФЕФ - Група 2 · Мач ·

Херкулес vs Реал Мурсия

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.09 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина29%
Равен29%
Победа за госта42%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта42% selection probability
Projected score1–1ХеркулесРеал Мурсия
Expected goals2.09Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под65% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
29% / 29% / 42%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Херкулес win (28.9%)Двоен шансX271.1%1.41
Над 35% · Под 65%Goals 2.5Под65%1.54
Да 41% · Не 59%И двата отбора да отбележатНе59%1.69
2.09 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
8.7 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapРеал Мурсия winDifference-1.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Херкулес win29%3.453.2527.5%+1.5 pp
Равен29%3.453.1028.9%+0.1 pp
Реал Мурсия win42%2.382.0543.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Херкулес1.27

Домакин share of expected goals 60.8%

Total expected goals2.09Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 35% · Под 65%

Реал Мурсия0.82

Гост share of expected goals 39.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 41% · Не 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Херкулес

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Точки6

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Реал Мурсия

2.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Точки13

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
42%
6
Points from supplied form
13
1.27
Expected goals
0.82
ХеркулесРеал Мурсия
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Херкулес signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Реал Мурсия signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Херкулес vs Реал Мурсия FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Херкулес печеливш 29%,Равен 29%,Реал Мурсия печеливш 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.09 · Над 2.5 35% · Current selection Под