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ESP スペイン プリメーラディビシオンRFEF - グループ2 · 試合 ·

ヘラクレス vs レアルムルシア

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.09 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利29%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利42%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利42% selection probability
Projected score1–1ヘラクレスレアルムルシア
Expected goals2.09Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー65% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
29% / 29% / 42%試合結果アウェイ勝利42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ヘラクレス win (28.9%)ダブルチャンスX271.1%1.41
オーバー 35% · アンダー 65%Goals 2.5アンダー65%1.54
はい 41% · いいえ 59%両チーム得点いいえ59%1.69
2.09 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
8.7 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapレアルムルシア winDifference-1.6 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ヘラクレス win29%3.453.2527.5%+1.5 pp
引き分け29%3.453.1028.9%+0.1 pp
レアルムルシア win42%2.382.0543.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ヘラクレス1.27

ホーム share of expected goals 60.8%

Total expected goals2.09Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 35% · アンダー 65%

レアルムルシア0.82

アウェイ share of expected goals 39.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 41% · いいえ 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ヘラクレス

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn3Losses1ポイント6

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

レアルムルシア

2.60pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn1Losses0ポイント13

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
勝ち probability excluding draw
42%
6
Points from supplied form
13
1.27
Expected goals
0.82
ヘラクレスレアルムルシア
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ヘラクレス signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02レアルムルシア signalホーム matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

ヘラクレス vs レアルムルシア FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ヘラクレス 勝ち 29%,引き分け 29%,レアルムルシア 勝ち 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.09 · オーバー 2.5 35% · Current selection アンダー