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ESP 西班牙皇家足協甲組聯賽 2組 · 比賽 ·

海克力斯 vs 穆爾西亞

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–12.09 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝29%
29%
客勝42%
Full model forecast客勝Tier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call客勝42% selection probability
Projected score1–1海克力斯穆爾西亞
Expected goals2.09Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.565% for the selected side
雙方進球59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
29% / 29% / 42%比賽結果客勝42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 海克力斯 win (28.9%)雙重機會X271.1%1.41
大 35% · 小 65%Goals 2.565%1.54
是 41% · 否 59%雙方進球59%1.69
2.09 total expected goals正確比分1–1
8.7 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gap穆爾西亞 winDifference-1.6 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
海克力斯 win29%3.453.2527.5%+1.5 pp
29%3.453.1028.9%+0.1 pp
穆爾西亞 win42%2.382.0543.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

海克力斯1.27

主隊 share of expected goals 60.8%

Total expected goals2.09Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 35% · 65%

穆爾西亞0.82

客隊 share of expected goals 39.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 41% · 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

海克力斯

1.20pts / match
5Wins1Drawn3Losses1積分6

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

穆爾西亞

2.60pts / match
5Wins4Drawn1Losses0積分13

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
贏 probability excluding draw
42%
6
Points from supplied form
13
1.27
Expected goals
0.82
海克力斯穆爾西亞
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01海克力斯 signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02穆爾西亞 signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

海克力斯 vs 穆爾西亞 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 客勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

海克力斯 29%, 29%,穆爾西亞 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.09 · 大2.5 35% · Current selection