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ESP Ισπανία - Πριμέρα Ντιβιζιόν ΡΦΕΦ - Γκρουπ 2 · Αγώνας ·

Χέρκουλες vs Ρεάλ Μούρθια

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.09 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου29%
Ισοπαλία29%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου42%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου42% selection probability
Projected score1–1ΧέρκουλεςΡεάλ Μούρθια
Expected goals2.09Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω65% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
29% / 29% / 42%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Χέρκουλες win (28.9%)Διπλή ΕυκαιρίαX271.1%1.41
Άνω 35% · Κάτω 65%Goals 2.5Κάτω65%1.54
Ναι 41% · Όχι 59%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι59%1.69
2.09 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
8.7 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapΡεάλ Μούρθια winDifference-1.6 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Χέρκουλες win29%3.453.2527.5%+1.5 pp
Ισοπαλία29%3.453.1028.9%+0.1 pp
Ρεάλ Μούρθια win42%2.382.0543.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Χέρκουλες1.27

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 60.8%

Total expected goals2.09Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 35% · Κάτω 65%

Ρεάλ Μούρθια0.82

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 39.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 41% · Όχι 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Χέρκουλες

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Πόντοι6

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Ρεάλ Μούρθια

2.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Πόντοι13

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
42%
6
Points from supplied form
13
1.27
Expected goals
0.82
ΧέρκουλεςΡεάλ Μούρθια
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Χέρκουλες signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ρεάλ Μούρθια signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Χέρκουλες vs Ρεάλ Μούρθια FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Χέρκουλες νίκη 29%,Ισοπαλία 29%,Ρεάλ Μούρθια νίκη 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.09 · Άνω 2.5 35% · Current selection Κάτω