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ESP Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · Trận đấu ·

Hercules vs Real Murcia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–12.09 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng29%
Hòa29%
Đội khách thắng42%
Full model forecastĐội khách thắngTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callĐội khách thắng42% selection probability
Projected score1–1HerculesReal Murcia
Expected goals2.09Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu65% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
29% / 29% / 42%Kết quả trận đấuĐội khách thắng42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hercules win (28.9%)Cơ hội képX271.1%1.41
Tài 35% · Xỉu 65%Goals 2.5Xỉu65%1.54
Có 41% · Không 59%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông59%1.69
2.09 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
8.7 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapReal Murcia winDifference-1.6 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hercules win29%3.453.2527.5%+1.5 pp
Hòa29%3.453.1028.9%+0.1 pp
Real Murcia win42%2.382.0543.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hercules1.27

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 60.8%

Total expected goals2.09Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Tài 35% · Xỉu 65%

Real Murcia0.82

Khách share of expected goals 39.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 41% · Không 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Hercules

1.20pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Điểm6

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Real Murcia

2.60pts / match
Số trận5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Điểm13

SignalChủ nhà matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Thắng probability excluding draw
42%
6
Points from supplied form
13
1.27
Expected goals
0.82
HerculesReal Murcia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hercules signalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Real Murcia signalChủ nhà matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Hercules vs Real Murcia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Đội khách thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hercules thắng 29%,Hòa 29%,Real Murcia thắng 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.09 · Tài 2.5 35% · Current selection Xỉu