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ESP Hiszpania - Primera Division RFEF - Grupa 2 · Mecz ·

Algeciras CF vs FC Cartagena

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–11.91 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy43%
Remis30%
Wygrana gości27%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Algeciras CFFC Cartagena
Expected goals1.91Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej70% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
43% / 30% / 27%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Cartagena win (26.7%)Podwójna szansa1X73.3%1.36
Powyżej 30% · Poniżej 70%Goals 2.5Poniżej70%1.43
Tak 37% · Nie 63%Obie drużyny strzeląNie63%1.59
1.91 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
8.5 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapAlgeciras CF winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Algeciras CF win43%2.332.0543.4%-0.4 pp
Remis30%3.333.0029.7%+0.3 pp
FC Cartagena win27%3.703.3027%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Algeciras CF1.14

Gospodarze share of expected goals 59.7%

Total expected goals1.91Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 30% · Poniżej 70%

FC Cartagena0.77

Goście share of expected goals 40.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 37% · Nie 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Algeciras CF

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkty9

SignalGospodarze won 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

FC Cartagena

1.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkty5

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
27%
9
Points from supplied form
5
1.14
Expected goals
0.77
Algeciras CFFC Cartagena
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Algeciras CF signalGospodarze won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Cartagena signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Algeciras CF vs FC Cartagena FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Algeciras CF wygrana 43%,Remis 30%,FC Cartagena wygrana 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.91 · Powyżej 2.5 30% · Current selection Poniżej